KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 3.2% 98%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
97.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 5:20 PM UTCDec 10, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketRules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi prices Above 3.2% at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) resolve?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) is scheduled to resolve on December 10, 2026.
- How is Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.