PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
3.7% · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
3.7% 83.8%Leader of 12 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
3.7% 83.8%Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$48.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
3.7%Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 4:15 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 3.7%
Loading selected book…
—
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
October Inflation US - Monthly
PolymarketOctober Inflation China - Annual
PolymarketUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the US annual traffic fatality number go under 30k? Long term market. (2024=42k)
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRules
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
