KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3% · —
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Stored price
Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3% 15%Leader of 16 outcomes
Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3% 15%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.1K
Open interest
$8.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%Spread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Headline PCE inflation in September
KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill October 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsUS headline CPI inflation in December 2029
KalshiRules
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Headline CPI MoM and Core CPI MoM each use ECONSTAT. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Rules for each outcome
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.3%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.1% or below
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.4% or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.4% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.4% or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.4% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
