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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

0.3% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
4.0%
4.0% 100%+0.3%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$26.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

+5.1%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 12, 25, 11:04 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

3.9%47%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,906.59+2.83%EthereumETH$1,661.67+2.62%SolanaSOL$65.32+2.95%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).