How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
0.5% (24h)FedBonds & TreasuriesOne-OffUS Politics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
4.0% 100%+0.3%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$91
Liquidity
$15.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 19.0%
Spread
375.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-5.5%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 11:02 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
3.7%12%
Volume trend
$91Jul 225d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).