LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below 4.50% 83.3%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 11:09 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Below 4.50% is 84%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Below 4.50% 84% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $845.3K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 more outcomes
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- Bitcoin price on September 8?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027??
- Limitless prices Below 4.50% at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? resolve?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Where else is How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.