10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96.7% as of October 26, 2026.

When does 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026? resolve?

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

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KALSHI

SOFR for October 26, 2026

• 3.91% or Above93.5%
• Exactly 3.86%2%
• Exactly 3.90%0.5%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$52.1K

24h Vol

$52.1K

KALSHI

30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

• 2% or above93%
• 3.5% or above+33.0pt83%
• 2.25% or above+4.0pt91.5%

KALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026?

• 4.86% or above98%
• 4.88% or above98.5%
• 4.9% or above95.5%

KALSHI

30-year mortgage rate this week

• Above 7.22%88.5%
• Above 7.23%77.5%
• Above 7.24%-15.0pt60%

POLYMARKET

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 4.80%+0.1pt100%
• 4.90%83%
• 5.00%-6.5pt60%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 5.25%-6.0pt80%
• Below 5.20%-1.0pt59%
• Below 5.15%+6.5pt48%

+7 more outcomes

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