PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
5.08% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
5.08% 69%Leader of 9 outcomes
5.08% 69%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$684.7
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
5.08%Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 11:35 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 5.08%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
FutuurHow high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).