Fed

No change+2.0pt95%

25 bps increase-2.0pt5%

25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Fed maintains rate+1.0pt94%

Hike 25bps-2.0pt6%

Hike >25bps1%

+2 more outcomes

0 (0 bps)+0.3pt99%

1 (25 bps)1%

10 (250 bps)0%

+10 more outcomes

Exactly 0 cuts+0.8pt94%

Exactly 6 cuts+3.5pt4%

Exactly 1 cut-0.5pt4%

+18 more outcomes

25 bps increase+2.5pt76.2%

No change-1.5pt19.8%

50+ bps increase-0.3pt3%

+2 more outcomes

Fed maintains rate+2.0pt90%

Hike 25bps-1.0pt6.2%

Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%

+2 more outcomes

SpaceX-1.0pt64%

Anthropic+3.0pt28%

ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Ilhan Omar-3.0pt46%

Corey Lewandowski-15.0pt42%

Cassidy Hutchinson-1.0pt30%

+42 more outcomes

2 (50 bps)+2.0pt72.3%

1 (25 bps)22.8%

3 (75 bps)-2.4pt5%

+3 more outcomes

Hike–Pause–Hike+0.5pt74.3%

Hike–Pause–Pause-1.5pt20.8%

Hike–Hike–Hike-0.8pt2%

+6 more outcomes

Hike 25bps+2.0pt74%

Fed maintains rate+1.0pt24%

Hike >25bps5%

+2 more outcomes

No change-0.5pt68.7%

25 bps increase28.3%

25 bps decrease1%

+2 more outcomes

Below 4.70%-4.5pt72%

Below 4.65%-5.0pt62%

Below 4.60%+7.0pt56%

+10 more outcomes

5.3%+0.5pt41%

5.4%-1.5pt22%

5.5%+4.4pt14%

+11 more outcomes

25 bps increase+1.0pt82%

No Change-1.3pt18%

25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

4.80%+0.2pt100%

4.90%+12.0pt86%

5.00%+16.0pt71%

+11 more outcomes

Below 5.25%+10.0pt76%

Below 5.20%+2.0pt58%

Below 5.15%-1.0pt44%

+7 more outcomes

4.25%-0.1pt69%

4.0%+1.1pt20%

≥ 4.5%-1.1pt8%

+12 more outcomes

April39%

June28%

July21%

+10 more outcomes

↑ 4.25%-0.3pt74%

↑ 4.5%-0.7pt8%

↑ 4.75%-0.8pt7%

+18 more outcomes

Above 2.75%99%

Above 3.00%99%

Above 3.25%99%

+8 more outcomes

Exactly 2+4.0pt73%

Exactly 1-1.0pt23%

Exactly 38%

+2 more outcomes

Before 202998%

Before 202895%

Before July 202895%

+2 more outcomes

No change-0.1pt97%

25 bps increase-0.6pt2%

50+ bps increase1%

+2 more outcomes

5.40%+8.0pt81%

5.50%+3.0pt67%

5.60%-1.0pt48%

+10 more outcomes

Above 1.75%99%

Above 1.00%98%

Above 1.25%97%

+18 more outcomes

No change-3.0pt56%

25 bps increase+1.5pt31%

50+ bps decrease-3.5pt4%

+2 more outcomes

No change+4.5pt84.7%

25 bps decrease-5.7pt15.3%

25 bps increase0%

+2 more outcomes

Central Bank93%

Good Day92%

Restrictive84%

+44 more outcomes

Beth Hammack74%

Lorie Logan-9.0pt43%

Neel Kashkari-7.0pt36%

+9 more outcomes

4.90%86%

4.80%84%

4.75%+5.0pt83%

+8 more outcomes

230.3%

0-2.5pt23.2%

321.2%

+2 more outcomes

Below 4.60%-0.5pt72%

Below 4.50%-2.5pt49%

Below 4.40%+5.0pt45%

+6 more outcomes

Below 4.9%74%

Below 4.8%62%

Below 4.7%+3.0pt41%

+15 more outcomes

2-6.0pt30%

0+1.0pt23%

121%

+3 more outcomes

$2.20 to $2.30+6.0pt50.9%

$2.30 to $2.4018.8%

$2.10 to $2.20-6.5pt17%

+7 more outcomes

H 2566.7%

H 021.6%

H 265.4%

+2 more outcomes

Fed maintains rate89.4%

Hike 25bps5.8%

Cut 25bps2.9%

+2 more outcomes

Above -25,00094%

Above 085%

Above 10,00078%

+10 more outcomes

↑ 7.50%58%

↓ 6.25%+3.5pt33%

↓ 6.50%+2.0pt31%

+11 more outcomes

Exactly 268%

Exactly 1-0.1pt17%

Exactly 39%

+10 more outcomes

3.0%++2.4pt45.1%

2.8-3.0%27.4%

2.6-2.8%-0.3pt18.6%

+4 more outcomes

Pause-Hike-Pause55.7%

Pause-Hike-Hike17%

Pause-Pause-Hike10.4%

+6 more outcomes