PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Pause–Pause–Pause
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, 9:08 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Pause–Pause–Pause100%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
Other0%
Pause–Pause–PauseWon
Cut–Pause–PauseLost
Cut–Cut–PauseLost
Pause–Cut–PauseLost
OtherLost
Cut–Pause–CutLost
Cut–Cut–CutLost
Pause–Pause–CutLost
Pause–Cut–CutLost
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
