Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)FedGeopoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Anthony Fauci 38%+1.0ptLeader of 41 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$676.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Nov 25, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny be charged by the federal or Florida government by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
KalshiRules
If the named outcome has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPR
- Charges filed in military courts are included.
- The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Anthony Fauci at 38% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? resolve?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
