Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.3%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingNov 9, 24, 4:46 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves yes iff one of those two is charged with a federal crime no later than December 31, 2026.
- An investigation is not enough, the feds must actually file charges in a court of law.
