Crime & Justice

Trump out as President before 2027?

3mo

94.1%

Yes

5.9%

CoinRithm referenceNo94%· 1 pt venue spread

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.4M

24h Vol$21K

POLYMARKET

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+0.5pt28%

October 31

+0.5pt13%

September 30

-1.0pt6%

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.8M

24h Vol$5.5K

POLYMARKET

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?

4.0 pt (24h)1y

2027

-4.0pt17%

2026

+0.2pt5%

Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$585.2K

24h Vol$7.1K

POLYMARKET

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

5.5 pt (24h)3mo

+5.5pt70.3%

Yes

-5.5pt29.7%

High quality (77)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$410.6K

24h Vol$6.6K

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested in 2026?

2.7 pt (24h)3mo

John Brennan

-2.0pt22%

Mahmoud Khalil

-1.0pt16%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

+2.0pt15%

+21 more outcomes

Medium quality (72)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$3K

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

Anthony Fauci

-1.0pt37%

John Brennan

+2.0pt35%

Ilhan Omar

16%

+38 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.5M

24h Vol$1.7K

KALSHI

Maduro Prison Time?

3.0 pt (24h)1y

No prison time

+0.5pt42.2%

60+

+3.0pt39.2%

20–40

+3.0pt10.8%

+2 more outcomes

High quality (78)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$725.3K

24h Vol$3.1K

POLYMARKET

Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?

7.5 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

-7.5pt12%

July 31

-0.1pt0%

August 31

-0.6pt0%

Medium quality (66)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$295.7K

24h Vol$2.7K

POLYMARKET

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

0.6 pt (24h)3mo

-0.6pt95%

Yes

+0.6pt5%

High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$341.5K

24h Vol$1.4K

POLYMARKET

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

7.0 pt (24h)3mo

Bill Gates

+37.0pt70%

Donald Trump

50%

Prince Andrew

-33.0pt41%

+15 more outcomes

Low quality (47)Wide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$101.8K

24h Vol$1.3K

KALSHI

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

Yes

-1.0pt83.2%

+1.0pt16.8%

Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$786.2K

24h Vol$555.6

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

3.5 pt (24h)

John Brennan

+1.0pt22%

Mahmoud Khalil

21%

Lee Jun-seok

+0.2pt12%

+21 more outcomes

Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$411.2K

24h Vol$601.6

POLYMARKET

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

2.9 pt (24h)3mo

+2.9pt95%

Yes

-2.9pt5%

Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$88.2K

24h Vol$511.6

POLYMARKET

Tom Lee charged by December 31?

0.3 pt (24h)3mo

+0.3pt98%

Yes

-0.3pt2%

Medium quality (71)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$64K

24h Vol$621.5

POLYMARKET

Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

+0.1pt92%

Yes

-0.1pt8%

Medium quality (71)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.5K

24h Vol$478.6

POLYMARKET

Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?

3mo

93.1%

Yes

6.9%

Medium quality (72)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$10.5K

24h Vol$340

POLYMARKET

Jimmy Lai released by which date?

0.2 pt (24h)3mo

December 31,

+0.2pt3%

June 30,

-0.1pt0%

Medium quality (59)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$379.8K

24h Vol$110.1

POLYMARKET

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

18.1 pt (24h)3mo

Audias Flores-Silva

+23.0pt100%

Juan Reyes Mejía González

+15.0pt64%

Juan Pablo Ledezma

-1.5pt52%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (29)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$176.5K

24h Vol$136.7

POLYMARKET

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?

9.0 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+9.0pt38%

May 31

-0.9pt0%

June 30

-0.2pt0%

+1 more outcomes

Low quality (30)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$95.8K

24h Vol$211.1

POLYMARKET

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

3mo

95%

Yes

Medium quality (63)Tight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$789

24h Vol$789

POLYMARKET

Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

0.5 pt (24h)3mo

+0.5pt57%

Yes

-0.5pt43%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$29.6K

24h Vol$128.4

POLYMARKET

Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?

12.0 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+6.0pt49%

September 30

-12.0pt26%

Low quality (43)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$683.6

24h Vol$312.1

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

Nothing

+0.1pt97%

Something

-0.1pt3%

Medium quality (66)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$16.6K

24h Vol$123.6

POLYMARKET

What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?

1.0 pt (24h)16d

Supreme Court

-7.0pt81%

Constitution / Constitutional

-2.0pt80%

First Responder

-3.0pt49%

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (56)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$8.7K

24h Vol$178.5

KALSHI

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

5.0 pt (24h)3mo

-5.0pt86%

Yes

+5.0pt14%

Low quality (44)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.5K

24h Vol$212.1

POLYMARKET

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

2.0 pt (24h)1mo

-2.0pt96%

Yes

+2.0pt4%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.3K

24h Vol$160.7

POLYMARKET

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

0.5 pt (24h)3mo

+0.5pt57%

Yes

-0.5pt43%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.3K

24h Vol$125.8

POLYMARKET

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by which date?

3mo

2026

2025

-1.3pt0%

March 31, 2026

+0.1pt0%

Medium quality (61)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$3.1M

24h Vol$40.4

POLYMARKET

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

-0.1pt98%

Yes

+0.1pt2%

Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$2.6M

24h Vol$29.5

POLYMARKET

Epstein client list released by which date?

3mo

October 31

11%

December 31

July 31

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (29)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.4M

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

1.6 pt (24h)3mo

-1.6pt96%

Yes

+1.6pt4%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$752.7

24h Vol$102.2

POLYMARKET

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

2.0 pt (24h)2y

85%

Yes

-2.0pt15%

Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$671K

24h Vol$91.4

KALSHI

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

3mo

94.1%

Yes

5.9%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$748.2K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

0.3 pt (24h)3mo

-0.3pt93%

Yes

+0.3pt7%

Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$202.9K

24h Vol$66

POLYMARKET

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

-0.1pt93%

Yes

+0.1pt7%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$541K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Jerome Powell federally charged by which date?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

December 31,

-0.1pt2%

June 30,

Medium quality (52)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$319.1K

24h Vol$15.6

POLYMARKET

SBF released from custody in 2026?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

+0.1pt98%

Yes

-0.1pt2%

Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$454.5K

24h Vol$1

POLYMARKET

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by which date?

0.5 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+0.5pt28%

June 30

-0.6pt0%

May 15

-0.5pt0%

+1 more outcomes

Low quality (24)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$354.2K

24h Vol$6.5

POLYMARKET

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

+1.0pt89.1%

Yes

-1.0pt10.9%

Medium quality (64)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$164.3K

24h Vol$18.5

POLYMARKET

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?

2.0 pt (24h)21d

June 30

-1.0pt35%

December 31

-2.0pt12%

September 30

Medium quality (57)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$75.9K

24h Vol$62.9

POLYMARKET

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

+0.1pt98%

Yes

-0.1pt2%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$222K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will Netanyahu be arrested?

6.0 pt (24h)3mo

Before Jan 1, 2027

-6.0pt4%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

Medium quality (53)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$109.4K

24h Vol$23.5

KALSHI

When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?

3mo

Before September

Before 2027

Low quality (48)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$48.7K

24h Vol$65.3

KALSHI

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

3mo

98%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$158.2K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

-0.1pt97%

Yes

+0.1pt3%

Medium quality (67)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$65.2K

24h Vol$33.1

POLYMARKET

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

+1.0pt93.1%

Yes

-1.0pt6.9%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$138.1K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

3mo

89.1%

Yes

10.9%

Medium quality (63)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$74.6K

24h Vol$22.9

POLYMARKET

Maduro guilty of all counts?

0.5 pt (24h)1y

+0.5pt78%

Yes

-0.5pt22%

Low quality (32)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$133.1K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

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