PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 89.1%+1.0pt
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18.5
Liquidity
$12.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
5
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 3:25 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor sentenced to prison in 2026?
FutuurLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketClavicular sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 89% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? resolve?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.