PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 16%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.3
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
13.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Mar 27, 26, 9:34 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes16%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".