PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$21.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
22
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 5:23 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
PolymarketWill the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?
Manifold MarketsZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketClavicular sentenced to prison by which date?
PolymarketPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Polymarket[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
