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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Europe
  3. José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

0.5% (24h)YearlyEuropeCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 6%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$16.5

Liquidity

$21.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.0%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes6%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
  • Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
  • Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
  • If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
  • Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
  • Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
  • If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".