PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$29.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.4% / 2.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
23
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 7:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
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Polymarket[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
LimitlessWill Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.0pt83.2%
- Yes+2.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $14.6M
- 24h Vol
- $77.9K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt42%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt34%
- Before Apr 1, 202723%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.7M
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
POLYMARKETSB Energy IPO by which date?
- December 3189%
- October 3173%
- September 3063%
- Total Vol
- $7K
- 24h Vol
- $7K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+1.0pt50%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt50%
+8 more outcomes
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
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- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? resolve?
- James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.