KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mizuho 89%+20.0ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$600
Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
58.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements.
- Joint book-running managers qualify.
- Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify.
- If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies.
- For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered.
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86%
- Yes-3.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt54%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-8.0pt48%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt33%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,96%
- October 31,-11.0pt79%
- October 15,-42.0pt24%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+5.0pt98%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+7.0pt96%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-2.0pt93%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+10.0pt68%
- Before May 1, 2027+28.0pt58%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+23.0pt51%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Before Jan 1, 2027+6.0pt97%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-3.0pt92%
- Before Aug 8, 20261%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which banks will take Anthropic public??
- Kalshi prices Mizuho at 89% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Which banks will take Anthropic public? resolve?
- Which banks will take Anthropic public? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Which banks will take Anthropic public? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.