Anthropic Public S-1 props
11.3 pts (24h)CryptoHyperliquidOne-OffRegulationCorporate ActionsExchangeBinanceAI1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastWill Binance Anthropic perpetuals trade higher 3 hours after the S-1 is public relative to the price right before the release? 61.3%+11.3ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+11.3 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 19, 26, 3:03 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple choice market tracking various proposition bets regarding Anthropic's initial public S-1 registration statement filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
- Each answer resolves independently according to SEC EDGAR filings and exchange pricing data:
- SEC Filing Date & Timing: The baseline release time for all filing-related conditions is the timestamp at which the Form S-1 (or DRS/S-1 if publicly released) becomes viewable on the SEC EDGAR system.
- Perpetual Contract Answers (Binance): https://www.binance.com/en/futures/ANTHROPICUSDT
- "Price right before the release" refers to the last traded price or the 1-minute candle close immediately prior to the SEC EDGAR publication timestamp on Binance's Anthropic perpetual contract market.