Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2mo
Yes4%
No96%
CoinRithm referenceNo96%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$24.7M
24h Vol$42.8K
POLYMARKETRegulation
2,094 markets tracked all-time for Regulation, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
1,260
Total Volume
$173,222,478
24h Volume
$242,161
Liquidity + open interest
$1,574,253,073
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CFTC sues Utah to block action against prediction markets CointelegraphPOLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
3d
Before Apr 1, 202797%Before Mar 1, 202796%Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt93%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (63)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.1M
24h Vol$119.9K
KALSHI
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?
1.5 pt (24h)2y
2028+1.5pt35%2027-1.0pt21%June 30, 202717%+1 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$816.7K
24h Vol$14.2K
POLYMARKET
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?
3.0 pt (24h)2mo
Before 2030-1.0pt30%Before 2029+3.0pt27%Before 202812%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$182.7K
24h Vol$13.2K
KALSHI
Conference to Win the National Championship
3.0 pt (24h)3mo
SEC+3.0pt42%Big Ten-1.0pt26%ACC18%+2 more outcomes
High quality (77)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$195.3K
24h Vol$9.3K
KALSHI
Will the Clarity Act become law?
2mo
Before Jul 1, 202721%Before Oct 1, 2027+4.0pt20%Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt19%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$7.3M
24h Vol$2.4K
KALSHI
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Anthropic-1.0pt91%Airwallex7%Discord6%+25 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.2M
24h Vol$4.4K
KALSHI
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
2mo
Before Jun 1, 202757%Before May 1, 202742%Before Apr 1, 202727%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$979.1K
24h Vol$1.2K
KALSHI
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by which date?
2y
202826%202714%June 30, 2027+2.0pt14%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$783.5K
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKET
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
3d
$1.75-$2.00T56%$2.25T+7%$1.25-$1.50T+1.2pt6%+4 more outcomes
Low quality (41)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$46.8K
24h Vol$3.2K
POLYMARKET
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
2y
202830%202717%June 30, 202711%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.4M
24h Vol$343.2
POLYMARKET
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
4.5 pt (24h)3d
$1.20-$1.30T+4.5pt56%$1.10-$1.20T16%$1.30T+16%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$36K
24h Vol$2.9K
POLYMARKETSpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
4.5 pt (24h)1mo
$2.00-$2.25T37%$1.75-$2.00T+4.5pt31%$2.25-$2.50T+2.0pt14%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$32.7K
24h Vol$2.1K
POLYMARKET
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
2mo
Before Jan 20, 202986%Before Jan 1, 202868%Before Oct 1, 2027+1.0pt63%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$870.6
KALSHI
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
Before Jun 1, 20278%Before Apr 1, 20276%Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt4%+7 more outcomes
Low quality (41)Spread unknownMedium open interest
Total Vol$38K
24h Vol$1.1K
KALSHI
Texas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2y
2028-1.0pt31%202721%June 30, 202713%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$769.1K
24h Vol$922.5
POLYMARKET
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by which date?
1y
December 31,28%June 30,13%Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$32.3K
24h Vol$1K
POLYMARKET
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by which date?
3.0 pt (24h)2y
2028+3.0pt35%2027+2.0pt28%June 30, 202711%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$297K
24h Vol$803.2
POLYMARKET
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
4mo
Before May 1, 20275%Before Jun 30, 20275%Before Feb 1, 20273%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$293.4K
24h Vol$788.5
KALSHI
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
2mo
Thom Tillis11%Kirsten Gillibrand9%Alex Padilla+0.1pt8%+12 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$445.5K
24h Vol$461.1
POLYMARKET
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by October 31?
3d
↑$22B73%↑$22.5B65%↓$20.5B29%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (43)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.8K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKET
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes3%-0.1pt
No97%+0.1pt
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$228.1K
24h Vol$728.4
POLYMARKET
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Citigroup-1.0pt2%Goldman Sachs-9.0pt1%Morgan Stanley-1.0pt1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (55)Moderate spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$127.3K
24h Vol$631
KALSHI
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
3.0 pt (24h)2mo
Above 64+9.0pt14%Above 60+7.0pt12%Above 50+3.0pt7%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$190.7K
24h Vol$386.7
KALSHI
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0 pt (24h)1y
No IPO by December 31, 202753%11–14B-2.0pt7%14–17B5%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$175.6K
24h Vol$309.9
POLYMARKET
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
2.0 pt (24h)4mo
Before Jun 1, 202721%Before May 1, 202714%Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt8%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (56)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$93.3K
24h Vol$425.3
KALSHISenate passes Clarity Act by which date?
3d
October 311%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$59.5K
24h Vol$464
POLYMARKET
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
6mo
BNP Paribas3%
Citigroup3%
KeyBank3%+16 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$87.1K
24h Vol$271.8
POLYMARKET
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
1y
Above 50090%Above 60081%Above 70078%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Tight spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$63.2K
24h Vol$366
KALSHI
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes31%-0.1pt
No69%+0.1pt
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$62.3K
24h Vol$320.8
POLYMARKET
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
1.5 pt (24h)3d
$1.50-$1.75T-1.5pt85%$1.25-$1.50T+3.5pt7%$1.75-$2.00T-2.0pt5%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (63)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$38.7K
24h Vol$516.6
POLYMARKET
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO?
1y
Before Dec 1, 202760%Before Oct 1, 202759%Before Nov 1, 202758%+14 more outcomes
Low quality (47)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$49.9K
24h Vol$348
KALSHI
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
9.0 pt (24h)3d
$3.50-$4.00T-4.6pt50.5%$4.00-$4.50T+9.0pt42.7%$4.50-$5.00T-3.1pt3.9%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$49.7K
24h Vol$345.1
POLYMARKET
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
3.5 pt (24h)2mo
$2.50-$3.00T-0.5pt45%$3.00-$3.50T+3.5pt25%<$2.00T6%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$30.8K
24h Vol$558.7
POLYMARKET
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
1.5 pt (24h)2mo
$5.00-$5.50T+0.5pt24.8%$5.50-$6.00T-1.5pt22%$4.50-$5.00T+3.0pt17.4%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$46.3K
24h Vol$338.3
POLYMARKETAlphabet’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
4.0 pt (24h)1mo
$3.50-$4.00T-4.0pt36%$4.00-$4.50T+4.5pt33%$4.50-$5.00T+3.0pt13%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$18.7K
24h Vol$907
POLYMARKETAlphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
2mo
$4.00-$4.50T33%$3.50-$4.00T30%$4.50-$5.00T13%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$35K
24h Vol$278.3
POLYMARKET
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
1y
202742%202620%Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$17.2K
24h Vol$541
POLYMARKET
Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
5.0 pt (24h)3mo
Yes75%+5.0pt
No25%
Medium quality (63)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$23.3K
24h Vol$372.7
KALSHI
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
$5.00-$5.50T+0.5pt34.9%$5.50-$6.00T+1.0pt25.5%$4.50-$5.00T+1.0pt21.7%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$22.3K
24h Vol$373.2
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
1mo
$1.30T+61.9%$1.20-$1.30T+1.0pt25.7%$1.10-$1.20T5.7%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (42)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$29.6K
24h Vol$259.3
POLYMARKETWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
8mo
Yes77%
No23%
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$21.1K
24h Vol$363.5
KALSHI
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by October 31?
3d
↑$7B63%↑$7.25B39%↓$6B17%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$11.8K
24h Vol$641
POLYMARKET
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
0.6 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-1.0pt29%October 31-0.6pt2%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$212
POLYMARKET
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
3d
↑$52.5B76%↑$55B37%↓$45B34%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (48)Moderate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$11K
24h Vol$521.2
POLYMARKET
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by October 31?
3d
↑$10.25B48%↑$10.75B36%↓$8.5B6%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (47)Moderate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$10.5K
24h Vol$429.5
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
3d
↑$1.475T80%↑$1.525T49%↑$1.725T11%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (52)Moderate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$10.5K
24h Vol$356
POLYMARKET
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
10.0 pt (24h)1mo
Inheritance Tax Rise-10.0pt20%Mansion Tax Increase13%Council Tax Replacement11%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (39)Wide spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$6.9K
24h Vol$510
KALSHI