Regulation

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

+1.0pt86%

Yes

-1.0pt14%

High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$14.5M

24h Vol$108.3K

POLYMARKET

Will the Clarity Act become law?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

Before Oct 1, 2027

-6.0pt39%

Before Jan 1, 2028

-27.0pt37%

Before Jul 1, 2027

-8.0pt32%

+7 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$5.6M

24h Vol$84.9K

KALSHI

Anthropic IPO by which date?

9mo

December 31,

-2.0pt88%

December 15,

86%

November 30,

-0.5pt84%

+7 more outcomes

Medium quality (55)Spread unknownHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.8M

24h Vol$86.9K

POLYMARKET

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

1.0 pt (24h)21d

Before Apr 1, 2027

-1.0pt97%

Before Jan 1, 2027

+1.0pt96%

Before Mar 1, 2027

-4.0pt94%

+9 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.7M

24h Vol$41.7K

KALSHI

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

1.0 pt (24h)9mo

Paramount

+1.0pt79.6%

None before July 2027

+1.0pt18.4%

Netflix

-2.0pt1.9%

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$4.3M

24h Vol$6.1K

KALSHI

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

3mo

Jersey Mike's

99%

Shein

98%

Oura

-1.0pt95%

+26 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$2M

24h Vol$6K

KALSHI

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

Before Jan 20, 2029

-2.0pt76%

Before 2028

+1.0pt72%

Before 2027

-1.0pt28%

Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$875.9K

24h Vol$6.1K

KALSHI

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

2.1 pt (24h)9mo

$1.25T–$1.5T

21.6%

$1.75T–$2.0T

20.6%

$1.5T–$1.75T

-2.8pt16.5%

+5 more outcomes

High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$123K

24h Vol$11.5K

POLYMARKET

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

18.0 pt (24h)3mo

At least 3

+18.0pt87%

At least 2

67%

At least 4

+13.0pt57%

+1 more outcomes

Medium quality (60)Wide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$49.4K

24h Vol$9.2K

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

21d

Before 2028

-4.0pt63%

Before Apr 1, 2027

+8.0pt51%

Before May 1, 2027

-5.0pt49%

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1M

24h Vol$4.7K

KALSHI

Weed rescheduled by which date?

3.3 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

-3.3pt16%

September 30

-5.0pt7%

July 31

-1.2pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (63)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$808.2K

24h Vol$4.3K

POLYMARKET

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

1mo

Before Jun 1, 2027

71%

Before May 1, 2027

65%

Before Mar 1, 2027

42%

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.1M

24h Vol$1.1K

KALSHI

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

0.3 pt (24h)1y

No IPO by December 31, 2027

-0.3pt51%

11–14B

-3.0pt20.8%

8–11B

12.5%

+5 more outcomes

High quality (75)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$66.8K

24h Vol$2.7K

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

1.0 pt (24h)22d

↑$925B

78%

↑$975B

+7.0pt34%

↑$1.025T

+11.0pt33%

+6 more outcomes

Medium quality (67)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$25K

24h Vol$4.5K

POLYMARKET

When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?

5.0 pt (24h)4mo

Before Jun 1, 2027

26%

Before May 1, 2027

21%

Before Oct 1, 2026

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (58)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$89.6K

24h Vol$1K

KALSHI

When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?

21d

Before Jan 1, 2027

+1.0pt95%

Before Oct 1, 2026

92%

Before Aug 8, 2026

+1 more outcomes

Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$511.6

KALSHI

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?

2.0 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+2.0pt33%

October 31

+4.0pt14%

July 31

-0.1pt0%

Medium quality (58)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$981.1K

24h Vol$597.7

POLYMARKET

Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

22.0 pt (24h)3mo

Yes

-22.0pt53%

47%

Low quality (49)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$10.2K

24h Vol$2.9K

KALSHI

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

5.0 pt (24h)3mo

Above 60

+2.0pt34%

Above 58

-1.5pt31%

Above 50

-0.5pt28%

+5 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceAbove 6034%· 34 pt venue spread

Medium quality (62)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$16.6K

24h Vol$1.5K

POLYMARKET

Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?

11.1 pt (24h)21d

$2.25T+

+11.1pt32.7%

$2.00-$2.25T

-11.0pt30.7%

$1.75-$2.00T

-3.0pt25.7%

+4 more outcomes

Low quality (46)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$15.2K

24h Vol$1.3K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

18.5 pt (24h)1mo

$2.25T+

+18.5pt38.2%

$1.75-$2.00T

-3.0pt20.9%

$2.00-$2.25T

-2.0pt20%

+4 more outcomes

Medium quality (52)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$6.6K

24h Vol$2.4K

POLYMARKET

Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?

5.0 pt (24h)6mo

53%

Yes

-5.0pt47%

Medium quality (71)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$6.8K

24h Vol$2.1K

KALSHI

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

16.0 pt (24h)1mo

$900B-$1.00T

+16.0pt50.5%

$1.00-$1.10T

-9.5pt9.9%

$1.10-$1.20T

-7.5pt9.9%

+6 more outcomes

Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.9K

24h Vol$2.4K

POLYMARKET

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

2.0 pt (24h)2mo

On Nov 16, 2026

-2.0pt95%

On Dec 14, 2026

-4.0pt68%

On Nov 22, 2027

42%

+1 more outcomes

Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$50.8K

24h Vol$980.5

KALSHI

LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?

3mo

93%

Yes

Medium quality (54)Wide spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$2.1K

24h Vol$2.1K

KALSHI

When will Databricks officially announce an IPO?

2.0 pt (24h)4mo

Before Dec 1, 2027

+1.0pt67%

Before Jan 1, 2028

+2.0pt67%

Before Oct 1, 2027

59%

+15 more outcomes

Medium quality (53)Wide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$54K

24h Vol$555

KALSHI

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

13.5 pt (24h)3mo

Rand Paul

+1.0pt47%

Andy Kim

-1.3pt45%

Kirsten Gillibrand

+14.0pt41%

+12 more outcomes

Medium quality (54)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$64K

24h Vol$341.7

POLYMARKET

When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?

1.0 pt (24h)7mo

Before Jan 1, 2027

12%

Before Jun 1, 2027

11%

Before May 1, 2027

+1.0pt8%

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (51)Wide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$37.3K

24h Vol$500

KALSHI

When will Oura officially announce an IPO?

21d

Before Jan 1, 2027

96%

Before Apr 1, 2027

96%

Before Jan 1, 2028

96%

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (55)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$49.4K

24h Vol$345.2

KALSHI

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

3mo

Above 60

+40.0pt68%

Above 50

34%

Above 58

31%

+5 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceAbove 6034%· 34 pt venue spread

Low quality (41)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$40K

24h Vol$333.3

KALSHI

When will Canva officially announce an IPO?

1.0 pt (24h)9mo

Before Jan 1, 2028

+5.0pt57%

Before Dec 1, 2027

+10.0pt52%

Before Aug 1, 2026

49%

+15 more outcomes

Medium quality (51)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$18.9K

24h Vol$525

KALSHI

SEC Teams to Win 10+ Regular Season Games

7.0 pt (24h)4mo

1+ team

95%

2+ teams

84%

3+ teams

66%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (41)Wide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$18.9K

24h Vol$255

KALSHI

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)27d

Yes

-1.0pt98%

High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$640.5K

24h Vol$249.8

KALSHI

Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?

6.0 pt (24h)3mo

$6.50T+

+1.0pt23%

$5.50-$6.00T

+3.0pt22.1%

$5.00-$5.50T

+6.0pt15%

+4 more outcomes

Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$8.6K

24h Vol$371.8

POLYMARKET

Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by September 30?

3.5 pt (24h)22d

↓$40B

-2.5pt41%

↑$42B

-0.5pt37%

↑$43B

-4.5pt32%

+6 more outcomes

Low quality (47)Moderate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$8.5K

24h Vol$374.4

POLYMARKET

Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by September 30?

2.0 pt (24h)22d

↑$125B

-0.5pt81%

↑$130B

-1.0pt51%

↓$115B

23%

+6 more outcomes

Low quality (47)Wide spreadLow liquidity

Total Vol$7.7K

24h Vol$392

POLYMARKET

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?

2.0 pt (24h)22d

↑$9.75B

-4.0pt78%

↓$9B

71%

↑$10.25B

+7.0pt35%

+6 more outcomes

Low quality (46)Wide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$8.1K

24h Vol$367.5

POLYMARKET

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of September 2026?

2.5 pt (24h)21d

$4.00-$4.50T

-0.7pt49.1%

$4.50-$5.00T

+4.5pt24.1%

$3.50-$4.00T

-2.5pt20.4%

+4 more outcomes

Medium quality (55)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$9.2K

24h Vol$317.1

POLYMARKET

When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?

Before Jan 1, 2030

26%

Before Jan 1, 2029

18%

Before Jan 1, 2028

+1 more outcomes

Medium quality (50)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$6K

24h Vol$500

KALSHI

When will Bloomberg officially announce an IPO?

48.0 pt (24h)3y

Before Jan 1, 2030

+48.0pt82%

Before Jan 1, 2029

29%

Before Jul 1, 2029

28%

+4 more outcomes

Low quality (48)Wide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$5.3K

24h Vol$540.3

KALSHI

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?

1.0 pt (24h)22d

↑$18.5B

79%

↑$18B

+19.0pt67%

↑$19.5B

36%

+6 more outcomes

Low quality (44)Wide spreadLow liquidity

Total Vol$8.2K

24h Vol$260

POLYMARKET

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by September 30?

10.5 pt (24h)22d

↑$47.5B

+10.5pt100%

↑$50B

+1.0pt52%

↑$52.5B

-3.0pt44%

+6 more outcomes

Medium quality (59)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3.6K

24h Vol$531.4

POLYMARKET

Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

5.0 pt (24h)1mo

$1.50-$1.75T

+5.0pt36.6%

$1.75-$2.00T

+0.5pt23.2%

$1.25-$1.50T

-10.0pt19.6%

+4 more outcomes

Medium quality (61)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.2K

24h Vol$554.6

POLYMARKET

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

Before Jan 1, 2028

47%

Before 2027

-1.0pt12%

Before Sep 1, 2026

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (60)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$292.9K

24h Vol$148

KALSHI

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

1.0 pt (24h)9mo

Before Jun 30, 2027

+1.0pt6%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (65)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$319.6K

24h Vol$100

KALSHI

When will Discord officially announce an IPO?

16.0 pt (24h)2mo

Before Jun 1, 2027

69%

Before Apr 1, 2027

60%

Before May 1, 2027

56%

+8 more outcomes

Medium quality (53)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$40.6K

24h Vol$237.2

KALSHI

Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap

$10B-$11B

43%

<$9B

26%

$9B-$10B

25%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$596.2

24h Vol$596.2

POLYMARKET

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

7.0 pt (24h)3mo

93%

Yes

-7.0pt7%

Medium quality (55)Wide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$56.9K

24h Vol$100

KALSHI

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