Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%+0.1pt
No95%-0.1pt
CoinRithm referenceNo95%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (93)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$23.8M
24h Vol$309.9K
POLYMARKETRegulation
1,532 markets tracked all-time for Regulation, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
751
Total Volume
$164,499,224
24h Volume
$521,824
Liquidity + open interest
$1,583,406,626
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (6)
Clarity Act, we hardly knew ye: We look at what was in the bill and what's replacing itCoindesk
Treasury Kills Crypto 'Unhosted Wallet' and Mixer Surveillance RulesDecrypt
FinCEN withdraws proposed crypto mixing rule over ‘legitimate activity’ concernsCointelegraph
US Treasury drops proposed reporting rules for wallets and crypto mixersCrypto News
CFTC seeks public input on crypto trading rules under CTX and CAMCrypto News
CFTC Seeks Comment on Crypto Rulebook That Leaves Spot Exchanges to the StatesThe DefiantPOLYMARKET
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
2y
202814%202710%June 30, 20279%+1 more outcomes
High quality (85)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$26.9K
POLYMARKET
Will the Clarity Act become law?
2mo
Before Jan 1, 202817%Before Oct 1, 202714%Before Jul 1, 202712%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$8.3M
24h Vol$6K
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
1.0 pt (24h)25d
Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt90%Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%Before Feb 1, 2027-2.0pt85%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.7M
24h Vol$13.6K
KALSHI
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)2y
2028+0.5pt26%202720%June 30, 202714%+1 more outcomes
High quality (84)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$432.4K
24h Vol$53.1K
POLYMARKET
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?
2y
202822%2027+1.0pt17%June 30, 2027+1.0pt12%+1 more outcomes
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$626K
24h Vol$20.7K
POLYMARKET
Texas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2y
2028+1.0pt27%202717%June 30, 202714%+1 more outcomes
High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$418.1K
24h Vol$15.2K
POLYMARKET
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by which date?
2y
202825%202718%June 30, 202716%+1 more outcomes
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$37.5K
24h Vol$37.5K
POLYMARKET
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
8mo
Paramount98%Netflix1%None before July 20271%High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.5M
24h Vol$3.4K
KALSHI
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
2.0 pt (24h)2mo
Anthropic+2.0pt78%Oura+6.0pt16%Kraken+5.0pt12%+26 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.1M
24h Vol$1.8K
KALSHI
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by which date?
2y
202826%202714%June 30, 202712%+1 more outcomes
High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$425.9K
24h Vol$4.4K
POLYMARKET
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
2mo
Yes5%
No95%
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$198.2K
24h Vol$2.1K
POLYMARKET
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
2.0 pt (24h)5mo
Before Jun 30, 2027-2.0pt5%Before Apr 1, 2027-6.0pt4%Before May 1, 2027-2.0pt4%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$332.1K
24h Vol$1K
KALSHI
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
3.2 pt (24h)2mo
Yes6%+3.2pt
No94%-3.2pt
Medium quality (55)Wide spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$224.6K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
6mo
Goldman Sachs6%
BNP Paribas-0.1pt3%
Santander+0.1pt3%+16 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$80.5K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
3.0 pt (24h)5mo
Before Jun 1, 2027-3.0pt57%Before May 1, 2027-9.0pt45%Before Mar 1, 202730%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (52)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$46.7K
24h Vol$1.5K
KALSHI
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
2mo
Before Jun 1, 202750%Before May 1, 2027+3.0pt47%Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt31%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$735.7
KALSHI
Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
5mo
Yes37%+11.0pt
No63%
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$18.7K
24h Vol$2.3K
KALSHIWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
8mo
Yes46%+4.0pt
No54%
Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14K
24h Vol$3.1K
KALSHI
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2y
2028-1.0pt19%202713%June 30, 202712%+1 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$344.7K
24h Vol$466.2
POLYMARKET
Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?
4.0 pt (24h)1y
Yes81%-4.0pt
No19%
Medium quality (58)Wide spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$3.2K
24h Vol$3.2K
KALSHI
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
11mo
Before Jan 1, 202887%Before Jul 1, 202781%Before Oct 1, 2027-8.0pt80%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$102.7K
24h Vol$724.7
KALSHI
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
2.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5.9%-2.5pt
No94.1%+2.5pt
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$28.1K
24h Vol$646.3
POLYMARKET
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes4%-1.0pt
No96%+1.0pt
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$28.2K
24h Vol$563.5
POLYMARKET
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
1y
Mizuho84%Allen & Company51%Raymond James44%+12 more outcomes
Low quality (47)Wide spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$18K
24h Vol$300
KALSHI
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
17.0 pt (24h)25d
$2.25T++17.0pt55.5%$2.00-$2.25T16.8%$1.75-$2.00T+1.0pt12.9%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.9K
24h Vol$367
POLYMARKET
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$22B53%↓$20.5B45%↑$22.5B39%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.4K
24h Vol$771.4
POLYMARKET
Conference of Heisman Trophy Winner
1.0 pt (24h)3mo
Big Ten+1.0pt46%ACC+3.0pt27%SEC-5.0pt13%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (49)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11K
24h Vol$324.6
KALSHI
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$1.05T50%↑$1.1T35%↓$950B27%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$5.6K
24h Vol$521.1
POLYMARKET
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
12.5 pt (24h)25d
$1.75-$2.00T-12.5pt31%$1.50-$1.75T-6.0pt24%$2.00-$2.25T+0.1pt21%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (58)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9.9K
24h Vol$269.3
POLYMARKET
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$7B24%↑$7.5B23%↓$5.5B21%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (56)Tight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$4K
24h Vol$664.8
POLYMARKET
Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by October 31?
45.0 pt (24h)25d
↓$172.5B+45.0pt84%↑$182.5B43%↑$187.5B24%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$4.6K
24h Vol$415.2
POLYMARKET
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$10.25B23%↓$7.5B21%↑$10.75B17%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (56)Tight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.1K
24h Vol$631.3
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
1mo
$1.30T+25.2%$1.20-$1.30T-2.5pt15.3%$1.10-$1.20T13.5%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (54)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$774.3
POLYMARKET
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$195B64%↑$200B52%↑$210B+5.5pt25%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.9K
24h Vol$425.6
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$1.4T89%↑$1.425T53%↑$1.475T38%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$4.3K
24h Vol$366.1
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
2mo
Raphael Warnock12%Thom Tillis12%Jacky Rosen10%+12 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$216.7K
24h Vol$184.5
POLYMARKETSpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
1mo
$1.75-$2.00T20.8%$2.00-$2.25T20.8%$2.25-$2.50T20.8%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$960.8
POLYMARKETHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
2mo
Above 589%Above 609%Above 508%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$116.5K
24h Vol$174.4
POLYMARKET
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?
1y
Before Jan 1, 202828%Before Nov 1, 202725%Before Oct 1, 202715%+15 more outcomes
Low quality (47)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$30.4K
24h Vol$138.6
KALSHI
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
3.0 pt (24h)2mo
$5.50-$6.00T+3.0pt27.3%$6.00-$6.50T+1.5pt21.2%$6.50T+20.2%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$20.8K
24h Vol$103
POLYMARKET
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
1y
Stifel Financial44%Raymond James42%Needham & Company39%+12 more outcomes
Low quality (35)Wide spreadLow open interestThin market
Total Vol$11.5K
24h Vol$178
KALSHI
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
$4.00-$4.50T-0.5pt27.9%$3.50-$4.00T+1.0pt25%$4.50-$5.00T19.2%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$12.5K
24h Vol$102
POLYMARKET
Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
Before 2027
7.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes63%-7.0pt
No37%
Low quality (47)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.8K
24h Vol$213
KALSHI
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$50B59%↓$45B+0.5pt28%↑$52.5B27%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (38)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.5K
24h Vol$120
POLYMARKET
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?
5.0 pt (24h)1y
Yes64%+5.0pt
No36%
Medium quality (58)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.4K
24h Vol$107.3
KALSHI
SEC Regular Season: Top 5 Finishers
4mo
Texas94%Georgia92%Alabama83%+13 more outcomes
Low quality (34)Wide spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$5.3K
24h Vol$109.2
KALSHI
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by October 31?
25d
↑$13.5B58%↑$13.25B51%↓$12.5B49%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (36)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$228.9
POLYMARKET