Regulation

Mexico vs. South Africa - Exact Score

16h

1 - 0

+2.0%19%

2 - 0

17%

1 - 1

11%

+14 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$110.4K

24h Vol$51.7K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by __?

12.5%1y

December 31,

90%

October 31,

-12.5%68%

September 30,

+5.0%17%

+3 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$250.4K

24h Vol$20.5K

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

2.0%6mo

Yes

-0.0%46%

+0.0%55%

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$5.6K

POLYMARKET

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

0.3%

70-80B

+0.3%95%

80-90B

-0.5%2%

50-60B

-0.5%1%

+7 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$334.5K

24h Vol$12.6K

POLYMARKET

Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score

0.5%23h

1 - 1

+0.5%15%

1 - 0

+2.0%13%

0 - 0

+0.6%11%

+14 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$15K

24h Vol$9K

POLYMARKET

United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

1 - 0

-1.5%14%

1 - 1

+1.5%14%

Any Other Score

+6.5%14%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$10.4K

24h Vol$1.6K

POLYMARKET

Netherlands vs. Japan - Exact Score

1.0%3d

Any Other Score

+18.0%27%

1 - 1

+2.0%14%

1 - 0

+1.5%13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$69.1K

24h Vol$2.5K

POLYMARKET

San Antonio vs New York: Second Half Winner

23.0%13d

San Antonio wins 2nd half

-23.0%24%

New York wins 2nd half

+27.0%77%

Tie

-6.0%1%

61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$6.1K

24h Vol$5.4K

KALSHI

Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

0.6%2d

Any Other Score

+18.5%30%

0 - 2

-1.0%16%

0 - 1

+0.5%14%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.4K

24h Vol$1.5K

POLYMARKET

Spain vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

1.5%4d

Any Other Score

-6.0%27%

2 - 0

+1.5%17%

3 - 0

+0.5%17%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.5K

24h Vol$1.8K

POLYMARKET

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

Kill everyone - Liron

Make fine distinctions of taste at the level of a food critic or a culinary professional - carl feynman

8.8%

teleoperate a robot to tidy up random kitchens - Gary Marcus

34.5%

+36 more outcomes

Community forecast301 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$72K

24h Vol$25K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

Any Other Score

+14.6%21%

1 - 1

+1.5%15%

0 - 1

-3.0%14%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2K

24h Vol$1.1K

POLYMARKET

IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

0.3%4d

Any Other Score

-3.0%32%

1-0

13%

1-1

+0.5%12%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.7K

24h Vol$1.4K

POLYMARKET

Germany vs. Curaçao - Exact Score

3.0%3d

Any Other Score

+6.0%52%

3 - 0

-0.5%16%

2 - 0

-3.0%8%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2K

24h Vol$1.2K

POLYMARKET

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

20d

Before Jul 1, 2026

99%

Before Aug 1, 2026

99%

Before Sep 1, 2026

99%

+11 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$66.7K

24h Vol$407.7

KALSHI

Australia vs. Türkiye - Exact Score

0.5%3d

Any Other Score

+13.0%22%

0 - 1

+0.5%14%

0 - 2

+2.0%13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.5K

24h Vol$253.9

POLYMARKET

Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score

0.5%2d

1 - 0

-2.0%14%

1 - 1

-1.0%13%

2 - 0

-0.5%13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$5.2K

24h Vol$767.2

POLYMARKET

Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

Any Other Score

+11.5%24%

0 - 1

+0.5%14%

0 - 2

+1.0%14%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$499.9

24h Vol$296.7

POLYMARKET

France vs. Senegal - Exact Score

2.0%5d

Any Other Score

-4.0%31%

1-0

-0.5%13%

2-0

-1.0%13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$446.3

24h Vol$424

POLYMARKET

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

0.5%

1.75-2.00T

-0.5%94%

1.50-1.75T

-0.2%3%

2.00-2.25T

-0.1%2%

+4 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$208.8K

24h Vol$390.3

POLYMARKET

San Antonio vs New York: 2nd Quarter Winner

53.0%13d

Knicks

-53.0%1%

Spurs

+53.0%99%

Tie

-3.0%1%

65 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$5.6K

24h Vol$5.4K

KALSHI

Argentina vs. Algeria - Exact Score

1.5%5d

Any Other Score

-0.5%34%

2-0

+0.5%16%

1-0

-0.5%13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$317.9

24h Vol$288.6

POLYMARKET

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

18d

Railbird

+1.4%100%

CME

+0.5%100%

LedgerX

+20.4%100%

+6 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$118.2K

24h Vol$256.1

POLYMARKET

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - Exact Score

26.4%6d

Any Other Score

-0.5%35%

0-1

-0.5%14%

0-2

-14.5%13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1K

24h Vol$258.9

POLYMARKET

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

2.0%1mo

$2.3B

92%

$2.5B

87%

$2.7B

-11.5%41%

+2 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$18.3K

24h Vol$944

POLYMARKET

Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

3.0%6d

Any Other Score

+19.0%35%

2-0

-34.0%15%

1-0

13%

+14 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$418.8

24h Vol$393.9

POLYMARKET

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

23.0%6mo

OpenAI

-23.0%66%

Discord

+1.0%59%

Anthropic

-2.0%89%

+22 more outcomes

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$18.3K

24h Vol$286.5

KALSHI

San Antonio vs New York: 3rd Quarter Winner

17.0%13d

Spurs

-17.0%29%

Knicks

+26.0%79%

Tie

-4.0%1%

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidity

Total Vol$2.7K

24h Vol$2K

KALSHI

San Antonio at New York: Triple Doubles

3.0%13d

Victor Wembanyama

-3.0%1%

Josh Hart

-2.0%4%

40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity

Total Vol$2.2K

24h Vol$2.1K

KALSHI

Belgium vs. Egypt - Exact Score

0.5%4d

Any Other Score

+26.5%34%

2 - 0

+0.5%13%

1 - 0

-1.0%13%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$212

24h Vol$199.2

POLYMARKET

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

24y

Commercial fusion power

39.6%

Regenerative Medicine

90%

Solar panels with 40% efficiency

83.6%

+85 more outcomes

Community forecast274 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$84K

24h Vol$109

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇧🇦BIH vs 🇶🇦QAT [World Cup '26]

13d

🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina

62.1%

🇶🇦 Qatar

13.7%

Draw

24.2%

Community forecast5 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$2.1K

24h Vol$1.1K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

42.0%3mo

Before Oct 1, 2026

-42.0%16%

Before Jan 1, 2027

-21.0%67%

Before Jul 1, 2026

+11 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$7.7K

24h Vol$459.8

KALSHI

England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

34.0%6d

1-1

-2.0%12%

2-1

-34.0%12%

1-0

-36.0%11%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$444.1

24h Vol$231.5

POLYMARKET

South Africa vs. Korea Republic - Exact Score

25.0%13d

0-0

+3.0%48%

0-3

+2.0%48%

1-3

+2.5%48%

+14 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$295.6

24h Vol$295.6

POLYMARKET

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

6mo

Yes

16%

84%

60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$15.9K

24h Vol$153.4

KALSHI

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

18d

June 30

23%

May 31

-4.5%0%

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$13.6K

24h Vol$114.2

POLYMARKET

Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score

1.0%16d

Any Other Score

+15.5%41%

0-2

-4.0%11%

1-2

-1.0%9%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$363.3

24h Vol$123.3

POLYMARKET

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

6mo

≥$1T

100%

≥$1.25T

100%

≥$1.5T

98%

+6 more outcomes

Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$3.4K

24h Vol$438.7

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Norway vs. France - Exact Score

1.0%15d

Any Other Score

35%

0-1

-3.0%10%

1-0

+0.5%9%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$140.1

24h Vol$127.6

POLYMARKET

Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score

1.0%7d

Any Other Score

+2.0%35%

2-0

-2.5%15%

1-0

-2.0%14%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$134.2

24h Vol$128.6

POLYMARKET

New Zealand vs. Belgium - Exact Score

1.0%16d

Any Other Score

35%

0-2

-4.0%12%

0-1

-3.0%10%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$123.3

24h Vol$123.3

POLYMARKET

Czechia vs. Mexico - Exact Score

2.0%13d

Any Other Score

+1.5%35%

1-0

1-1

-4.0%9%

+14 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$121.6

24h Vol$121.6

POLYMARKET

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

3mo

≥$1T

100%

≥$1.25T

100%

≥$1.5T

98%

+6 more outcomes

Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$3K

24h Vol$334.2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇵🇹POR vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]

🇵🇹 Portugal

77.1%

🇨🇩 Congo DR

7.3%

Draw

15.5%

Community forecast9 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$1.6K

24h Vol$616.3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027

9mo

≥$1.5T

98%

≥$2T

84%

≥$2.5T

51%

+6 more outcomes

Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$2K

24h Vol$313.5

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

≥$1.75T

97%

≥$2.25T

64.9%

≥$3T

58.2%

+6 more outcomes

Community forecast7 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$1.2K

24h Vol$378.7

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇲🇽MEX vs 🇿🇦RSA [World Cup '26]

18h

🇲🇽 Mexico

70%

🇿🇦 South Africa

9.8%

Draw

20.2%

Community forecast20 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$1.2K

24h Vol$371.4

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Related Crypto Assets

Mexico vs. South Africa - Exact Score

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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

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Norway vs. France - Exact Score

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