PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Rand Paul 42%-2.0ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$106
Liquidity
$28.3K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 7:26 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088
- The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment.
- This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote.
- Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Rand Paul 42% · 2 venues · 31 pt venue spread
