PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Thom Tillis · —
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Stored reference
Thom Tillis 10%Leader of 15 outcomes
Thom Tillis 10%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$115.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
Thom TillisSpread
—
Comments
1
7d Change
+4.3 pts
Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 7:26 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Thom Tillis
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiCLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088
- The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment.
- This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote.
- Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? · Catherine Cortez Masto 6%