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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Crypto
  3. How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

CryptoRegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 50
Above 50 0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$2.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

90.0% / 97.0%

Spread

7.8%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

May 16, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Above 50
Above 50
0%
Above 55
Above 55
0%
Above 62
Above 62
0%

Selected outcome

Above 5876%

Rules

If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
  • If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
  • If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No.
  • Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
  • If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 55, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$0
Angela Alsobrooks: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

$7.6K
Yes: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

$110.1
Before 2027: 49%KalshiKALSHI
Will crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?

Will crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?

$0
Yes: 35%PredictItPREDICTIT
Manifold Markets

CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

$91.4
Yes: 49%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?

Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?

$0
Yes: 98%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,704.35+1.64%EthereumETH$1,654.48+0.89%SolanaSOL$65.02+0.78%XRPXRP$1.11-0.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.71%BNBBNB$598.09+1.58%

Related News

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Rules

If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
  • If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
  • If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No.
  • Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
  • If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 55, then the market resolves to Yes.