How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
5.0 pts (24h)CryptoRegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 50 39%+5.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$23.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
18.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan
- The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
- If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Prediction Source Comparison
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi prices Above 50 at 39% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? resolve?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.