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CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

Regulation CryptoYearly5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 39%

Forecasters

70

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 minutes ago

Feb 21, 26, 11:57 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes39%

Stake (USDT)

Compare venues· No

Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume

Venue	Quality	Probability	vs reference	24h Vol	Liq	Freshness
PolymarketBest overall90% match · auto	High	63%	—	$81.5K	$283.8K	20 minutes ago	Open →
Futuur90% match · auto	Low	65%	—	$0	$2.1K	20 minutes ago	Open →
Manifold MarketsThis page	—	61%	—	—	—	20 minutes ago

Also available on Polymarket

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

2.0%5mo

No

-0.0%63%

Yes

Yes

+0.0%38%

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.7M

24h Vol$81.5K

POLYMARKET

Also available on Futuur

100pt disagreement · Futuur is higher

Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026?

5mo

No

65%

Yes

35%

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$1.5K

24h Vol$0

FUTUUR

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Large trades

$1.9k37.0%

POLYMARKETYesDimpled-Constant8h ago

$1.6k31.1%

POLYMARKETYeswangwangdui3453d ago

$1.4k33.0%

POLYMARKETYesDimpled-Constant3d ago

$1.2k62.0%

POLYMARKETNowhig4d ago

$2.6k46.0%

POLYMARKETYesAlert-Career4d ago

$3.0k51.8%

POLYMARKETYes0xf666…3efc5d ago

$2.6k58.1%

POLYMARKETNoPuntPuntPunt5d ago

$3.5k39.0%

POLYMARKETYesdzagvadgfsad11d ago

Volume trend

$452

Jul 819d of dataJul 26

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$64,488.35+0.69%

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QR-code identification: 6%

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.