KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Raphael Warnock 10%Leader of 12 outcomes
Raphael Warnock 10%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Open interest
$24.2K
Medium open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiCLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRules
If Raphael Warnock votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The vote must be the first final vote on the bill, not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture, unless otherwise specified. This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
Rules for each outcome
- Raphael Warnock
- If Raphael Warnock votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jerry Moran
- If Jerry Moran votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Josh Hawley
- If Josh Hawley votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Angela Alsobrooks
- If Angela Alsobrooks votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Catherine Cortez Masto
- If Catherine Cortez Masto votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andy Kim
- If Andy Kim votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lisa Blunt Rochester
- If Lisa Blunt Rochester votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rand Paul
- If Rand Paul votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mike Lee
- If Mike Lee votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Warner
- If Mark Warner votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego
- If Ruben Gallego votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kirsten Gillibrand
- If Kirsten Gillibrand votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? · Raphael Warnock 12%