KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jun 1, 2027 71%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$160
Liquidity
$421.4K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 30, 25, 2:00 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If OpenAI confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO??
- Kalshi prices Before Jun 1, 2027 at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? resolve?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027.
- How is When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If OpenAI confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.