Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026?
Corporate ActionsAIOne-OffTech1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.9%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 6, 24, 1:46 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of April Fools 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI IPO by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $66.1K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.3pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.8%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt98%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt98%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026? resolve?
- Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.