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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

20.5% (24h)AIOne-OffCorporate Actions6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 36%-0.2%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.8K

Liquidity

$5.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

33.0% / 38.0%

Spread

15.2%

Wide spread
7d Change

-20.5%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Oct 30, 25, 12:36 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes36%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
  • An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
  • OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
  • Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify.
  • Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered.

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Manifold Markets

What Month in 2026 Will OpenAI IPO in?

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Manifold Markets

OpenAI completes an IPO in 2026 and has a market cap of $1 trillion+?

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Related News

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
  • An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
  • OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
  • Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify.
  • Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered.