Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
0.3 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.8K
Liquidity
$96.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$873.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
276
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 4:34 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
PolymarketWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 3%.
CoinRithm reference 3% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Also available on PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Also available on Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%