KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore 2027 6%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$223.9
Liquidity
$816.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.7% / 5.8%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 10, 26, 12:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before 20276%
Compare venues· Before January 20, 2029
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · linked | High | 96% | — | $16.3K | $236.4K | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | High | 16% | — | $223.9 | $816.4K | 7 minutes ago | |
| KalshiMost active82% match · linked | Medium | 23% | — | $29.6K | $546.5K | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless82% match · linked | Low | 95% | — | $0 | $0 | 27 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets82% match · linked | — | 94% | — | — | — | 5 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets78% match · linked | — | 95% | — | — | — | 38 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets82% match · verified | — | 91% | — | — | — | yesterday | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5mo
96%
4%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$35.1M
24h Vol$16.3K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
2y
23%
+0.5%6%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.3M
24h Vol$29.6K
KALSHIAlso available on Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5mo
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$25.1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2y
91%
9%
Community forecast1,259 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5mo
94.1%
5.9%
Community forecast13 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2y
95.3%
4.7%
Community forecast41 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaper7d ago
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaper7d ago$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No17d ago
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No17d ago$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYid23d ago
POLYMARKETNoNxbYid23d agoVolume trend
$224Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.