KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before January 20, 2029 23%+4.0pt
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$158.1
Liquidity
$729.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.6% / 4.0%
Spread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurRules
If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 23%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Also available on Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Also available on Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland??
- Kalshi prices Before January 20, 2029 at 23% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? resolve?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Limitless.