LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 4, 2026, 8:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 93.5%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 1:05 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 7%. Quotes span about 8 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 7% · 3 venues · 8 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Also available on Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- Also available on PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Limitless prices No at 94% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? resolve?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt.
