Also available on Polymarket

8pt disagreement · Polymarket is higher

0.5%5mo

Yes

6%

No

+0.0%94%

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$10.4M

24h Vol$10.2K

POLYMARKET

Also available on PredictIt

12pt disagreement · PredictIt is higher

Yes

2%

No

98%

Retail prediction exchange

Total Vol$0

24h Vol$0

PREDICTIT

Also available on Manifold Markets

11pt disagreement · Manifold Markets is higher

5mo

Yes

3%

No

97%

Community forecast147 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$62.9K

24h Vol$1.7K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Venue	Probability	vs reference	24h Vol	Liq	Freshness
PolymarketMost active	94%	+88pt	$10.2K	$142.6K	1 minute ago	Open →
Manifold Markets	97%	+91pt	—	—	7 days ago	Open →
FutuurThis page	86%	+80pt	$230.9	$0	13 minutes ago
PredictIt	98%	+92pt	—	—	13 minutes ago	Open →

Venue	Probability	vs reference	24h Vol	Liq	Freshness
PolymarketMost active	94%	+88pt	$10.2K	$142.6K	1 minute ago	Open →
Manifold Markets	97%	+91pt	—	—	7 days ago	Open →
FutuurThis page	86%	+80pt	$230.9	$0	13 minutes ago
PredictIt	98%	+92pt	—	—	13 minutes ago	Open →

Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026?