Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.9%
Forecasters
152
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 25, 24, 4:02 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- • The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.
- • The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.
- • Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Also available on Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Also available on PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Also available on Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%