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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsGeopolitics2y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before January 21, 2029
Before January 21, 2029 33%-2.0%
Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$206.4

Liquidity

$5.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

32.0% / 33.0%

Spread

3.1%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 9, 25, 6:00 PMJan 21, 29, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before January 21, 202933%

Rules

If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
  • Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
  • Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.