PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 97%
Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$206.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.3% / 3.4%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Dec 23, 25, 12:58 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 3%. Quotes span about 42 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 3% · 2 venues · 42 pt venue spread
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 97% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? resolve?
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Limitless.