Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
GeopoliticsOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.8%
Forecasters
72
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 8, 25, 5:59 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill the Panama Canal belong to the US prior to 2029
Manifold MarketsWill the United States control 50% or more of the Panama Canal by the end of Trump's Term?
Manifold MarketsTrump seizes Panama Canal in second term?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiRules
It does not have to be successful to resolve to yes.
- Any use of military force where the intent is subject will resolve to yes.
