Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
GeopoliticsOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 89.8%
Forecasters
72
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 8, 25, 5:59 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
It does not have to be successful to resolve to yes.
- Any use of military force where the intent is subject will resolve to yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029? resolve?
- Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It does not have to be successful to resolve to yes.