Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
11.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East23d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 54%+11.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
December 31 54%+11.0ptMarket quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$51.3K
Liquidity
$113.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
156
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 10:48 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
August 12Lost
August 15Lost
August 22Lost
August 31Lost
Before close: 1% ·
September 14Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 21Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 7Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
