Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.7%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 22, 24, 11:16 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States control 50% or more of the Panama Canal by the end of Trump's Term?
Manifold MarketsHow many days will the Panama Canal remain closed due to military conflict during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiRules
I won’t bet.
- Will bias towards YES if ambiguous.
- Acquiring a 50+ year lease counts as YES.
