Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 13.3%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleDec 22, 24, 11:16 PMJan 1, 29, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
Volume trend
$100Jul 164d of dataJul 20
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