PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
December 31 8%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 31 8%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$88.2
Liquidity
$44.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comments
2
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 9:21 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · December 31
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
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KalshiUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketHow many days will the Panama Canal remain closed due to military conflict during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Panama Canal less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Panama Canal Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
- Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying.
- Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.