PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
December 31 27%Leader of 11 outcomes
December 31 27%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$43.2K
Liquidity
$64.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comments
1,021
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 11:23 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 21Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 24Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 27Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · December 31
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”).
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify.
- A closure which applies generally to commercial aviation across Iranian airspace, with limited exceptions for certain categories of flights, however, will qualify (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).
- Qualifying previous examples include the February 28, 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602289115) and the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/).