Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 6%-1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
December 31 6%-1.0ptMarket quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$46.2K
Liquidity
$358.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
521
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Mar 14, 26, 12:25 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
April 15Lost
April 30Lost
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 24Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 31Lost
May 31Lost
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
