PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 13%-0.0%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$873.8
Liquidity
$64.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 8:24 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
Large trades
$12.8k85.1%POLYMARKETNoAngryRhino10d ago
POLYMARKETNoAngryRhino10d agoVolume trend
$874Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.