Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East22d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
September 30 2%-0.4pt
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$68.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 12:26 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
LimitlessWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of the specified islands is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The islands that will be considered for resolution are: Farsi Island, Hengam Island, Hormuz Island and Kharg Island.
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over at least one of the specified islands, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.