US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
0.2 pts (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 3%Leader of 7 outcomes
December 31 3%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$123.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$364.6K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
195
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 9:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
PolymarketWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2026 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 27.5M lbs U3O8?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
- A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
