Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
CommoditiesOne-OffMiddle EastGeopolitics4moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.6%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 25, 26, 1:53 AMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Trends
Rules
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
- Resolution criteria from Polymarket
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
Prediction Source Comparison
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of August 30, 2026.
- When does Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 resolve?
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
- Where else is Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.
