KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 92,500 MW 4%Market line of 7 lines
Above 92,500 MW 4%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Open interest
$176.6K
High open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 7:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 6:29 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 9, 2026
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8250 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8900 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the Electrical & Electronics industry be ≥ ~2500 ozt in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill nuclear energy generate more than 67,000 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in the US during August 2026? (Power plants) (Reactors) (Grid output) (Clean power)?
ForecastExRules
If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour. Instantaneous load readings will not be considered. ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process. Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 92,500 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 91,500 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 91,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 92,000 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 93,000 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 93,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 94,000 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 94,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 96,000 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 96,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 98,000 MW
- If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 98,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
