How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffCommodities4mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 91,500 MW 31%-18.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$30.7K
Liquidity
$32.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 3:00 AMJan 1, 27, 6:29 AM
Trends
Rules
If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings will not be considered.
- ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process.
- Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 91,500 MW at 31% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? resolve?
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.