Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
One-OffCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 15.5 million barrels 94%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:58 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above
Settles via:Kentucky Distillers’ Association
- 15.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the statewide Bourbon barrel inventory derived from inventories submitted by Kentucky distilleries and warehousing companies to the Kentucky Department of Revenue.
- Only barrels containing Bourbon will count; barrels containing other aging spirits will not.
- The January 1, 2025 figures, for example, were 16.1M Bourbon barrels versus 17.1M total barrels of all aging spirits.
- 16.0 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 15.5 million barrels at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 resolve?
- Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above