Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
One-OffCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 15.5 million barrels · —
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Stored price
Above 17.0 million barrels 40%Market line of 6 lines
Above 17.0 million barrels 40%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.7K
Open interest
$14.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 15.5 million barrelsSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:58 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 15.5 million barrels
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ForecastExRules
If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 17.0 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Kentucky Distillers’ Association
- The Underlying is the statewide Bourbon barrel inventory derived from inventories submitted by Kentucky distilleries and warehousing companies to the Kentucky Department of Revenue. Only barrels containing Bourbon will count; barrels containing other aging spirits will not. The January 1, 2025 figures, for example, were 16.1M Bourbon barrels versus 17.1M total barrels of all aging spirits.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 15.5 million barrels
- If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 15.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16.0 million barrels
- If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 16.0 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16.5 million barrels
- If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 16.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.0 million barrels
- If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 17.0 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.5 million barrels
- If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 17.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.0 million barrels
- If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 18.0 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
