Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2027?
Society & CulturePolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastPoland 96%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 11, 25, 9:37 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- An option in this market will resolve YES if, at 23:59:00 local time on 1 January 2027, same-sex marriages have legal recognition in the named jurisdiction.
- Each option will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- For the purpose of this market, a jurisdiction may recognise same-sex marriages without necessarily performing them.
- If, for example, a jurisdiction only recognises same-sex marriages performed extraterritorially, this is sufficient to resolve YES.
