Which New York City restaurants move from one Michelin star to two or more in 2026?
One-Off1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Torrisi · —
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Stored price
Torrisi 32.5%
Torrisi 32.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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TorrisiSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 9:00 PM UTCDec 14, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Torrisi
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Rules
If Torrisi has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Michelin
- Eligible restaurants held one star in the prior annual edition; a promotion to either two or three stars qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Torrisi
- If Torrisi has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoshino
- If Yoshino has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Frevo
- If Frevo has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Semma
- If Semma has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Le Coucou
- If Le Coucou has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Four Horsemen
- If The Four Horsemen has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes.