KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Peru · —
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Stored price
Peru 74%Leader of 12 outcomes
Peru 74%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Open interest
$50K
High open interestBid / Ask
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PeruSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 2, 25, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Peru
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Peru before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in the countryPope Leo XIVofficial government sources of the countryofficial representatives or offices of Pope Leo XIVThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Rules for each outcome
- Peru
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Peru before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Uruguay
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Argentina
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brazil
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Portugal
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Portugal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mexico
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Philippines
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Philippines before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Jordan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ukraine
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Sudan
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- USA
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel
- If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
