What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
17.0% (24h)Latin AmericaYearlyReligionSociety & Culture6mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityArgentina 63%-17.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$623.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
62.0% / 67.0%
Spread
8.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 2, 25, 8:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Argentina63%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Peru before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.