PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Javier Milei 53%+3.0%Leader of 64 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$193K
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spread7d Change
+4.5%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 1, 26, 10:10 PMOct 24, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Javier Milei53%
Compare venues· Javier Milei
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 53% | — | $2.6K | $193K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets87% match · auto | — | 50% | — | — | — | 25 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Argentina Presidential Election Winner (Polymarket)
1y
+4.6%50%
-0.2%41.8%
+1.0%3%
+11 more outcomes
Community forecast17 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.6kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).