Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
11.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America2y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Javier Milei · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Javier Milei Stored bid–ask50%–54%Collected: Last trade: 50% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 51.5%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 9 outcomes
Javier Milei Stored bid–ask50%–54%Collected: Last trade: 50% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 51.5%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.4K
Open interest
$13.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Javier MileiSpread
—
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 23, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Javier Milei
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Argentina presidential election winner?
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KalshiRules
If Javier Milei wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Cámara Nacional Electoral
- For elections with runoffs or multiple rounds: if the market does not specify a round, the winner is the ultimate victor of the election. If the market designates a specific round, the winner is the candidate elected in that round or, if the election is not decided in that round, the candidate receiving a plurality of votes in that round, in each case regardless of whether that round is followed by any further round or runoff. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Javier Milei
- If Javier Milei wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Axel Kicillof
- If Axel Kicillof wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sergio Massa
- If Sergio Massa wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Juan Grabois
- If Juan Grabois wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victoria Villarruel
- If Victoria Villarruel wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Myriam Bregman
- If Myriam Bregman wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mauricio Macri
- If Mauricio Macri wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Patricia Bullrich
- If Patricia Bullrich wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Juan Schiaretti
- If Juan Schiaretti wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
